管道完整性维护费用的效用优化方法
Utility Optimality Method for Pipeline Integrity Maintenance Costs
浏览(3052) 下载(1)
- DOI:
- 作者:
- 陈利琼1, 翁闽2, 张冠中3
CHEN Li-qiong1, WENG Min2, ZHANG Guan-zhong3
- 作者单位:
- 1. 西南石油学院, 四川成都 610500;
2. 成都双流国际机场管理部动力科配气站, 四川成都 610202;
3. 中原油田分公司采油三厂, 山东莘县 252449
South-west Petroleum Institute, Chengdu 610500, China
- 关键词:
- 油气管道;完整性维护;费用;效用函数;优化
oil and gas pipeline;integrity maintenance;cost;utility function;optimization
- 摘要:
- 老龄管网的完整性维修是管道输送公司的主要任务。但由于管道系统较大,维修预算受经济能力的制约,因此管理者不应盲目地对管道的完整性维修进行投资,而必须以最好的方式分配维护资源。文章通过对管道完整性维修费用分析,提出了用效用函数来优化管道的完整性维修费用,并对管道完整性维护的效用函数进行了定义。此方法是根据管道风险定量评价的结果,在充分考虑决策者对管道失效后果偏好感觉的基础上决定最优的维护费用。
The integrity maintenance of old pipeline network is a major task for pipeline transportation company. Because the pipeline system is complicated and maintenance budget is restricted by financial capability the administrators must not invest in pipeline integrity maintenance until the deliberate consideration is made. In contrast he should distribute the maintenance fund in the best way. Through the analysis of pipeline integrity maintenance costs this paper suggests to apply utility function to optimize the costs and gives the definition of pipeline integrity maintenance costs. This method determines the optimization maintenance costs on the basis of the results of quantitative evaluation of pipeline risk and sufficient consideration of decision-maker's favor sensation for pipeline failure aftereffect.2005,2(2): 19-21 收稿日期:2004-11-3分类号:TB112基金项目:中国石油天然气集团公司科技中青年创新基金项目(PLN0113)作者简介:陈利琼(1976-),女,四川射洪人,2004年获西南石油学院博士学位,讲师,主要从事油气管道的安全性和可靠性方面的研究.参考文献:
[1]钱成文,侯铜瑞,刘广文,等.管道的完整性评价技术[J].油气储运,2000,19(7):11-15.
[2]朱松春,孙之荣.实用决策科学[M].北京:解放军出版社,1988.
[3]王寅初(译).多目标决策分析及其在工程和经济中的应用[M].北京:航空工业出版社,1986.
[4]陈利琼.(在役油气长输管线定量风险技术研究)博士论文[C].北京:中国国家图书馆,2004.
[5]Nessim M A, Stephens M J.Risk-based Optimization of Pipeline Integrity Maintenance[J]. Safety and Reliability ASME, 1995, OMAEVolume Ⅱ: 303-314.
[6]张连诚.决策分析[M].沈阳:辽宁教育出版社,1994.
[7]陈廷.决策分析[M].北京:科学出版社,1987.
